Spring vs Winter Ratings

Winter Season Average % 7.14%
Winter Season Median % -4.96%
Spring Season Average 12.66%
Spring Season Median -5.33%

Before I start too much I’ll link my data for anyone who wants to check numbers and ect. At face value its easy to see the winter season didn’t have as many high(bad) end shows that drove the numbers up on the averages. So focusing on the median numbers more it would seem like the spring was a stronger season compared to the winter season. Lets look at the same data but taking out the outliers.

Spring Average w/o Outliers -10.41%
Spring Median w/o Outliers -10.99%
Winter Average w/o Outliers -11.50%
Winter Median w/o Outliers -6.05%

Averages’ only have a difference of about 1% so you could say the seasons’ had the same weight or strength. The spring did have an about 5% lead in the median. In both cases it shows that on average that we(viewers/raters) on MAL undervalue shows in the early weeks. Spring with a lower median would think it shows that we had a better shows than we thought in the beginning of the season. Could also be from having less shows in the pool because high amount of outliers in the spring season compared to the winter season. Thinking for this summer season I may compare season averages and medians based on the 3rd week vs the first week to see if that helps on outliers or keeping the season numbers closer to 0%. Cause you would hope that a show was just as good in the beginning as compared to the end. That a series didn’t magically get awesome in the 6th or 9th episode of the series. With that thought in mind some of the problems could be that I’m using the MAL weighted ratings.  Shows would be undervalued in general in the first week or two because a good number of viewers may not rate till the 3rd episode comes out. So empty numbers hurting the weighted rating on MAL till more of the empty numbers add a score. Not sure though, I’ll have to look into that at some point.

In the end I’d say that the winter season shows surprised us more than the spring shows did. Below is the list of the biggest movers(surprises) in the spring then winter season. Move based on % from first week aired and not MAL rating numbers or the weighted score number out of ten.

Ping Pong the Animation
No Game No Life
Sidonia no Kishi
Bokura wa Minna Kawaisou
Haikyuu!!
Soredemo Sekai wa Utsukushii
Nagi no Asukara
Kill La Kill
Hoozuki no Reitetsu

I’ll be continuing to track the airing shows and will have more stats posts in the future. Looking forward to comparing the year as a whole down the line. I’ll look at just shorts and sequels at the end of the year, waiting for the observations to build up. 🙂

Blackbullet

 

 

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